Friday, 3 January 2025

ALD - Ampol

 ASX : ALD
28/6/26  Snapshot 

Fundamentals


Earnings vs ROE


Earnings & ROE are not consistent
It's very difficult to predict earnings over a 5 year period
Future ROE is also hard to predict.
Everything depends on the current oil price.












again revenue is not consistent.
Has been declining . 2026 may be different with the Iran war

Dividend yield 5.2% ... its high, but ...
















Again, dividends are all over the place ... hard to predict the future.

Debt - equity







Ampol Limited (ASX:ALD) has a Total Debt to Equity ratio of approximately 122.04%. However, depending on the specific analytical methodology (such as only evaluating long-term debt or net debt), metrics vary between 80% and 174%, indicating moderate to high financial leverage.
Debt has been increasing over the last 5 years. 
Key Leverage & Debt Metrics
A detailed breakdown from various financial sources highlights the different ways ALD's debt is reported:
  • Total Debt to Equity: 122.04%
  • Long-Term Debt to Equity: 80.0%
  • Net Debt to Equity: ~ 120% 

  • Balance Sheet Snapshot
  • Total Debt: ~ $4.21 billion
  • Total Equity (Book Value): ~ $3.5 billion
  • Total Cash: ~ $57.9 million 

...

ROIC Vs WACC
5.7% vs 4.9%
ROIC  return on invested capital is below 10%. not great.
ROIC is greater than WACC (cost of capital) .... passable but the diff between the two isn't very large.
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Earnings per share has been dropping 




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