Thursday, 26 December 2024

CDA - Codan

 CDA Codan
05 july 2026

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ASX:CDA (Codan Limited) has experienced strong operational growth over the last 5 years, achieving record-breaking earnings and a share price rally. Net profit reached $103.5 million in FY25 and hit $71.2 million in H1 FY26 alone, while maintaining low debt and a strong Return on Equity (ROE) exceeding 24%. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6]
5-Year Financial & Operational Breakdown
  • Profitability: Codan has sustained impressive margins, with Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) rising consistently. The company achieved an NPAT of $103.5 million in FY25 (a 27% year-on-year increase) and upgraded its full-year guidance for FY26 on the back of bullish sales in its Communications and Metal Detection units. [1, 2, 3]


  • Debt Levels: The balance sheet remains highly conservative. By the end of FY25, net debt had been significantly reduced to $78.3 million, and its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio sat comfortably at 0.4 times, providing ample room for strategic acquisitions. [1, 2, 3, 4]
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Codan has been a highly capital-efficient business. The company maintains an ROE of 24.35%, comfortably beating historical levels as revenue scaling drives bottom-line growth. [1, 2, 3]

  • Share Price Performance: The stock has rallied significantly, climbing from under $10 over the earlier part of the 5-year cycle to reach record all-time highs exceeding $45 by mid-2026. [1, 2, 3]

Key Catalysts
  • Minelab (Metal Detection): Sustained demand driven by favorable global gold prices and successful new product releases.
  • Communications: Tactical acquisitions (such as Kagwerks and Adaptive Dynamics) have expanded the company’s footprint in defense and technology, leading to an increasing and secure order book. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
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PE ratios

The historical Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio for Codan Limited (ASX: CDA) has fluctuated significantly over the last 10 years, moving from single digits up to its current premium multiple of 62.4x to 62.9x in July 2026. The stock's 10-year historical average P/E sits at roughly 20.10. [1, 2, 3, 4]
Analyze the 10-Year Historical P/E Ratios
The table below breaks down the annual P/E ratios for Codan Limited from 2016 through mid-2026 based on year-end financial reporting. [1, 2]
Year [1, 2, 3, 4]Approximate P/E RatioKey Driver / Market Phase
2026 (Current)62.4x - 62.9xMassive premium pricing driven by a 55% surge in net income
202535.3x - 37.1xRising demand for communications tech and metal detection gear
202426.8x - 27.0xRecovery in core tech divisions and improved profit margins
202321.3x - 21.5xStabilizing period after post-COVID supply chain and demand shocks
202211.8x - 12.5xSharp multiple contraction following broader tech selloff
202136.0xPeak pandemic demand for Minelab detectors and gold-mining tools
202022.0xSteady growth as digital communications segments expanded
201917.5xModerate valuation matching consistent mid-teen earnings growth
201815.1xTracking close to long-term historical median levels
201718.4xEarly phases of international tactical communications scaling
20169.0xCyclical low with ultra-cheap multiples relative to earnings

Evaluate Essential Valuation Metrics
To get a full look at the company's valuation cycle, look closely at these long-term parameters: [1, 2]
  • 10-Year Average: 20.10
  • 10-Year Median: 16.86
  • 10-Year Minimum: 9.52 (during the 2016 cycle)
  • 10-Year Maximum: 62.92 (reached in current 2026 trading)
  • Forward P/E Multiple: 43.5x - 43.9x (pricing in projected earnings growth) [1, 2, 3, 4]
Review Crucial Growth Drivers
  • Multiple Expansion: The dramatic jump from ~27x in 2024 to over 62x in 2026 is due to the stock price running ahead of near-term earnings. Investors are paying a premium because first-half 2026 net income jumped 55% to AU$71.2m. [, 2, 3]
  • Sector Contrast: At ~62x earnings, Codan trades significantly higher than the median ASX market average (where roughly half of listed companies sit below a 22x P/E). However, it remains closely aligned with its direct peer average in high-growth electronics. [1, 2, 3]
You can cross-reference changing consensus valuations through the Morningstar ASX CDA Profile
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dividends
Not an income stock !



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