Tuesday, 3 December 2024

RYD

 RYD
21-07-26
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ASX:RYD (Ryder Capital Limited) is a Listed Investment Company (LIC) focusing on small-to-mid-cap Australian equities. Over the last 5 years, it has delivered an average pre-tax NTA (Net Tangible Assets) return of +8.7% per annum. The company operates with minimal corporate debt and provides a reliable, fully franked dividend of 12.0 cents per share annually. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
Financial Highlights
  • Profit & Earnings: As a closed-end LIC, profit is largely driven by unrealized and realized portfolio gains, which can be volatile. For example, the six months ending December 2025 saw a record total comprehensive after-tax income of \(\$42.53\text{M}\) driven by strong small-cap market performance. [1, 2, 3]
  • Debt & Leverage: The company is generally ungeared at the corporate level, relying entirely on its equity base to fund its concentrated investment portfolio. [1, 2, 3]
  • ROE & Returns: Due to the fluctuating nature of LIC investment earnings, Return on Equity (ROE) swings with the market. While historical ROE has sometimes registered negative during broader small-cap pullbacks, the 5-year and long-term pre-tax NTA return hovers around +8.7% per annum. [1, 2, 3]
  • Dividends: As of mid-2026, RYD commits to an annual fully franked dividend of \(12.0\text{ cps}\). Based on a share price of approximately \(\$1.76\), this represents a yield of roughly \(6.8\%\text{--}8.2\%\). [1, 2]
  • Distributable Profits: The fund has built a strong retained profit reserve, with distributable profit reserves providing over five years of dividend coverage. [1]
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ARGO vs RYD
buffett style 2026 sept

Evaluating Argo Investments (ASX: ARG) and Ryder Capital (ASX: RYD) through a Warren Buffett value-investing lens reveals two completely different approaches to capital allocation. [1, 2]
Argo operates as a "Sleep Well At Night" (SWAN) blue-chip safe haven, whereas Ryder functions as an aggressive, high-conviction small-cap compounder. [1, 2, 3]

Head-to-Head Comparison
MetricArgo Investments (ASX: ARG)Ryder Capital (ASX: RYD)
Buffett Style CategoryMature "Moat" Conglomerate (like modern Berkshire)Early-Stage Micro-Cap Picker (like 1950s Buffett Partnership)
Portfolio FocusASX 200 Blue-chips (CBA, BHP, RIO)Concentrated Australian Small/Micro-caps
10-Year Long-Term Growth~8.1% to 9.5% p.a. Total Shareholder ReturnSuperior outperformance over 10 years (Inception 2015)
P/E Ratio (2026)26.9x – 27.6x (Historically elevated)N/A (Highly volatile due to lumpy trading profits)
Dividend Yield (Grossed up)~4.1% - 4.2% (~5.9% incl. Franking)~5.4% - 5.7% (~7.4% incl. Franking)
Dividend Payout FrequencyHalf-yearlyQuarterly
10-Year Dividend GrowthSteady/Slow (~2.7% CAGR over 10 years)Aggressive step-ups, shifting recently to steady state
Management Expense Ratio0.14% (Extremely low)1.90% + Performance Fees

The Buffett Style Breakdown
1. Long-Term Growth & Capital Allocation
  • ARG: Buffett values consistency. Argo has been investing since 1946. Its 10-year return tracks close to the broader ASX 200 accumulation index (~8.5%-9.5% per annum). It builds wealth through a slow, unstoppable indexing effect. [1, 2, 3]
  • RYD: This represents Buffett's "vintage" style—hunting in inefficient markets. Because small-caps are heavily mispriced, RYD has generated massive multi-bagger returns on high-conviction positions (e.g., its 270% gain on Macmahon Holdings). RYD celebrated its 10th anniversary recently with notable structural outperformance over the index. [1, 2, 3]
2. Price to Earnings (P/E) & Margin of Safety
  • ARG: At a trailing P/E of ~27x, Argo is trading at a premium relative to its historical 10-year median (~25.5x). From a value perspective, it is fully valued right now. [1]
  • RYD: Traditional P/E is meaningless for RYD because its net profit swings wildly based on realized and unrealized investment gains. A value investor should look at its Net Tangible Assets (NTA) instead. RYD historically trades at a discount to its pre-tax NTA, which gives it a structural "Margin of Safety" that Buffett would appreciate. [1, 2]
3. Dividend Sustainability & Growth
  • ARG: A spectacular track record, paying dividends since 1946. However, dividend growth is slow (~2.7% CAGR) and its current payout ratio stretches past 100% of underlying earnings, meaning it relies heavily on its massive cash reserves to smooth payouts during down years.
  • RYD: Moved to a quarterly dividend model to reward shareholders with an explicit minimum commitment of 12.0 cents per share fully franked annually. This provides a higher immediate cash-flow yield than Argo, but because small-caps are volatile, the dividend relies heavily on volatile capital gains. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8]

The Verdict: Which fits your portfolio?
  • Choose Argo (ARG) if you prioritize ultra-low fees (0.14%), zero operational volatility, and a legacy asset that functions like a conservative, blue-chip conglomerate.
  • Choose Ryder (RYD) if you want active small-cap alpha, are willing to pay performance fees for market outperformance, and want a higher, more frequent quarterly income stream backed by a deep asset discount

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